The Grim Banality of Political Pollstery. January 18, 2008
Posted by azandi in Editorials.trackback
Over the past few weeks, its been an exercise in intellectual constitution and cerebral endurance to observe the curious hybrid of psychological torment and unmitigated farce that has been the primary season pundit commentary and “analysis”. Night after night, I forced myself for the sake of retaining my personal status in the mainstream socio-political “mode” to be witness the freakish human exhibition of squabbling, bickering, incoherent, unintelligible monkeys in suits blathering on about the “latest numbers” and “breaking viewer feedback info”, touting the inane and wholly meaningless projections of some randomly generated, factually-devoid and inconsequential poll as tantamount to the empirical data presented by a leading research study.
Dick Morris, Frank Luntz, and all the rest, they make up a circus cast of so-called ”political analyists” and “strategists”, and they’ve been occupying the airwaves ad nauseum this political season, and their trademark inherent normative audacity reverberating with an undeserved sense of accomplishment is in full bloom. These mendacious goons are invited to every network as “experts” on public policy matters and the hard mathematics of campaign management. They slobber out meaningless statistics from some obscure conducted 5 minutes prior to the program going on the air, or even worse, they employ the ridiculous spectacle that is the “Luntz Meter”, a nonsensical little gimmick that gauges the trigger-happy responses of a bunch of nobodies apparently snatched from the street to jingoistic buzz-words spat out by presidential-hopefuls. Its not clear if this ludicrous little thing is supposed to be a self-evidently satirrical joke, an exercise in gauging the susceptibility of the average drone to innately propagandist slogans or that they actually don’t understand how stupid and non-impacting the whole concept is.
The proposition that a group of bantering doofuses on a cable news network can actually predict determine with even relative accuracy the outcome of an election is almost as asinine as liberal half-wits at a Greenpeace herbosexual convention claiming they can adjudicate global climate figures a century from now. This accuracy is actually quite potent; much like the environment, the socio-political climate and how it interfaces with a largely uninformed, reserved and uncaring citizenry is an incredibly undecipherable codex to tackle. America’s political atmosphere is tumultous and in a state of constant fluctuation and disarray, no one can predict it. The fact that a dressed-up bureaucrat can actually make a lucrative career pretending that he can is just insulting.
That all being said, I too made a mistake in my calculations on the developments of Campaign ‘08. I instilled too much trust in Rudy Giuliani’s critical thinking faculties, or perhaps even in his capacity to think rationally at all. The notion that anyone can be under such a grossly false perception to believe that they can just casually skip Iowa, new Hampshire, Michigan and South Carolina, and just place all bets in Florida illustrates a clear serious failure in analytical prowess on Giuliani’s part. I don’t know if he just became fat with overconfidence in his tremendous front-runner margin only a few months ago, or if he just became lazy, but Giuliani managed to perform a nearly unprecedented feat in status relenquishment, and I’m pretty sure at this point he’s out of the running.
Which leaves the space open for only one more tenable canddiate in book, John McCain. I’ve always liked the guy quite a bit, he was the loudest proponent of the surge in Congress, he banked essentially his entire career on it and his determination and devotion to it payed quite off for him, as well as demonstrating a great formidability in character. I do disagree with him on some things, namely his rhetoric in regards to global warming, which I see is given a bit too much urgency in my view, as well as his opposition to the Bush tax cuts, but in all fairness he was opposed to them because they weren’t coupled with equal spending reductions, and he was actually quite right on the mark there. But in general I respect and admire Senator McCain a great deal, he undoubtably holds the greatest foreign policy experience of the lot, and is certainly infinitely more desirable than a village idiot-hick preacher turned village idiot-hick turned politican like Mike Huckabee or a snivelling, unprincipled cultist like Mitt Romney, both of whom are completely untakable. As for Fred Thompson, it never even appeared to me like he even acted as though he wanted to become the next president, pun intended.
But I’m not going to be making any more formal endorsement banners or anything, the Giuliani one has been removed and you won’t be seeing the emergence of a new one unless McCain or Giuliani (or both, as running-mates, which isn’t entirely unlikely) actually win the nomination. The seas of American politics are rough and nearly intraversable, I won’t pretend to be a fortune-teller in regards to its various gravitations, in direct contrast to the rambling bimbos of the media, I’ll leave all the patently inaccurate and improvised election forecasting to them.
[...] unprincipled cultist like Mitt Romney, both of whom are completely untakable…. source: The Grim Banality of Political Pollstery., The Dystopian [...]